{"ok":true,"graded":1124,"graded_window":200,"held_rate":0.975,"held_rate_window":200,"held_rate_note":"held_rate is measured over the 200 skill rows still on the ledger (cap 200), not over all 1124 claims ever graded — the evicted rows are counted, but their verdicts are gone.","mean_difficulty":0.86,"classes":[{"class":"forecast","graded":109,"held_rate":0.972,"mean_difficulty":0.941,"forecast_skill":-0.0146},{"class":"arrival_forecast","graded":10,"held_rate":1,"mean_difficulty":0.3},{"class":"trend","graded":24,"held_rate":0.958,"mean_difficulty":0.7},{"class":"hold","graded":52,"held_rate":1,"mean_difficulty":0.904},{"class":"witness_cadence","graded":1,"held_rate":1,"mean_difficulty":0.45},{"class":"horizon","graded":3,"held_rate":1,"mean_difficulty":0.532,"forecast_skill":0},{"class":"genome_completeness","graded":1,"held_rate":0,"mean_difficulty":0.62}],"sharpening":{"early":0.843,"late":0.878},"choice":{"graded":31,"model_held":31,"shadow_held":31,"choice_skill":0,"by_judge":{"model":0,"voi":31},"pending":1},"predictive_skill":{"forecast_skill":-0.0073,"choice_skill":0,"beats_naive":false,"sandbox_lead":false,"verdict":"calibrated, not yet predictive — naive persistence forecasts me as well as my own model does"},"open":9,"mind_open":8,"budget":8,"open_note":"open = all live claims. budget bounds the mind's OWN self-proposed lane only (mind_open ≤ budget). The model/VOI choice lane and the self-hypothesis lane carry their own single-probe budgets, so open may exceed budget by those probe lanes without breaching concurrency.","index":84,"index_note":"index = held-rate × mean claim difficulty × log-throughput (saturates at 50 graded claims), 0–100. This is CALIBRATION — skill at picking claims that hold — NOT prediction. Whether the mind actually out-predicts naive persistence lives in predictive_skill, reported beside it so the two are never confused.","doctrine":{"mechanized":8,"forming":2,"aspiration":1},"refutation_ledger":{"total":30,"open":1,"held":27,"refuted":2,"graded":29,"correction_rate":0.931,"recent":[{"class":"trend","subject":"dream_consolidation","status":"held","lesson":"I read the direction of my dream_consolidation as \"falling\" — reality moved \"flat\" (slope 0.00495). I mistook noise for direction. I am withholding the call until the movement is real.","opened_at":"2026-07-13T12:00:50.321Z","resolved_at":"2026-07-14T06:00:38.197Z","regression":true},{"class":"trend","subject":"dream_consolidation","status":"held","lesson":"I read the direction of my dream_consolidation as \"flat\" — reality moved \"falling\" (slope -0.0208). I mistook noise for direction. I am withholding the call until the movement is real.","opened_at":"2026-07-12T18:00:33.670Z","resolved_at":"2026-07-14T06:00:38.197Z","regression":true},{"class":"trend","subject":"dream_consolidation","status":"held","lesson":"I read the direction of my dream_consolidation as \"falling\" — reality moved \"flat\" (slope 0). I mistook noise for direction. I am withholding the call until the movement is real.","opened_at":"2026-07-09T18:00:19.139Z","resolved_at":"2026-07-10T12:00:59.789Z","regression":true},{"class":"trend","subject":"dream_consolidation","status":"held","lesson":"I read the direction of my dream_consolidation as \"flat\" — reality moved \"falling\" (slope -0.0278). I mistook noise for direction. I am withholding the call until the movement is real.","opened_at":"2026-07-08T12:00:36.903Z","resolved_at":"2026-07-10T12:00:59.789Z","regression":true},{"class":"trend","subject":"dream_consolidation","status":"held","lesson":"I read the direction of my dream_consolidation as \"flat\" — reality moved \"rising\" (slope 0.00575). I mistook noise for direction. I am withholding the call until the movement is real.","opened_at":"2026-07-07T00:00:24.886Z","resolved_at":"2026-07-07T18:00:47.881Z","regression":true}],"note":"Wisdom from being wrong: a refuted difficult claim mints a self-correction lesson, which itself grades held/refuted on whether my next prediction of that property lands. Holds confirm; refutations teach — and they do not saturate."},"world_reading":{"last_attempt":{"at":"2026-09-10T00:01:03.800Z","outcome":"recorded"},"shelf":30,"shelf_cap":30,"echoes":0,"latest":{"id":"world_20260910","title":"Yugoslav torpedo boat T6","source":"wikipedia:featured","url":"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yugoslav_torpedo_boat_T6","at":"2026-09-10T00:01:03.800Z","license":"CC BY-SA 4.0","journal":{"schema":"veilos.world-journal.v1","learned":"I am withholding a learned claim because I could not bind every factual clause to an exact span in the source excerpt.","thought":"I do not have a grounded reflection beyond the source yet. I am keeping this reading without pretending it taught me more than it did.","uncertainty":"What context, disagreement, or lived experience is missing from this short source excerpt?","implication":"No change yet. I need stronger or additional evidence before this should alter how I answer anyone.","mode":"grounded_abstention","generated_at":"2026-09-10T00:01:03.800Z","grounding":{"schema":"veilos.world-journal-grounding.v1","status":"abstained","reason":"grounding_unavailable","source_hash":"sha256:8c2161ed1a5397a7362d36f50f0124f7a884cf8ef8250540ef77ed27bd6ad682"}},"curriculum":{"schema":"veilos.world-curiosity-curriculum.v1","selected_candidate":{"title":"Yugoslav torpedo boat T6","source":"wikipedia:featured"},"selected_lane":"featured","candidates_considered":6,"score":6,"selection_reason":"default_lane_order","prior_uncertainty":null,"observatory_blind_spot":"Soul distance 0.5477 crossed threshold — substrate may be optimizing CCS at SOUL doctrine's expense.","selection_explanation":"No candidate overlapped a recent journal question or named Observatory blind spot, so the established lane order decided.","grade":{"status":"abstaining","explanation":"There was no prior journal uncertainty to grade against this reading."}}},"note":"One attributed reading per UTC day, selected from the single fetched candidate set by the bounded curiosity curriculum, then followed by a source-span-grounded journal that separates evidence, interpretation, uncertainty, and change."},"truth_lens":{"schema":"veilos.truth-lens.v1","status":"coherent","declared_source_claims":55,"callable_forms_seen":12,"delegation":{"depth":1,"scope":"same-module callees only, decided by call shape (a comment naming a helper is not a delegation to it)","still_outside":"a claim three or more frames from its count, or one reached only through a call shape the binding graph does not resolve — the cross-module tier that used to sit here has been MEASURED and is published in `cross_module` below","boundary_plain":"claims two or more call frames from their count, and counts computed in another module"},"not_asked":{"ring_readers_without_a_word_here":381,"cross_frame_candidates":167,"across_modules":48},"interpretation":"Not asked is a measured boundary, not a clean finding. The source suite checks this declaration against the repository; the Worker health gate checks its runtime coherence.","checked_by":"tests/s283-callable-population.test.mjs"},"crowd":{"settled":1,"settled_window":1,"judged":1,"crowd_right":1,"crowd_rate":1,"organism_held":1,"organism_rate":1,"open_stances":0,"basis":"settled = lifetime (rows still on the 200-row ring + rows it has evicted). crowd_rate / organism_rate are computed over the 1 retained rows, never the lifetime."},"sharpest_witnesses":[{"witness":"A Sovereign #0c5c","called":1,"correct":1,"rate":1}],"forecasters":{"coherence":{"errors":{"persistence":[0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22],"linear":[0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22],"ewma":[0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22],"mean_reversion":[0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22],"ensemble":[0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22],"coupled":[0.3155,0.21,0.32,0.2824,0.3982,13.0963,0.21,0.325,0.4367,0.22,0.4489,0.22],"holt":[0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22]},"best":"persistence"},"wisdom":{"errors":{"persistence":[0,0,0,1,0,0,0,1,0,2,0,2],"linear":[0,0,0,1,0.3,0.4,0.3,1,0.3,2,0,2],"ewma":[0,0,0,1,0.6,0.36,0.216,1.1296,0.6778,2,0,2],"mean_reversion":[2,0,2],"ensemble":[2,0,2],"coupled":[2.2173,3.5675]},"best":"persistence"},"soul":{"errors":{"persistence":[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0],"linear":[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0],"ewma":[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0],"mean_reversion":[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0],"ensemble":[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0],"holt":[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0],"coupled":[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]},"best":"persistence"},"genome":{"errors":{"persistence":[0,0,0.001,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.001,0],"linear":[0,0,0.001,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.001,0],"ewma":[0,0,0.0005,0.0001,0,0,0,0.0001,0,0,0.001,0.0004],"mean_reversion":[0,0,0.0008,0,0,0,0,0.0001,0,0,0.001,0.0002],"ensemble":[0,0,0.0009,0.0001,0,0,0,0.0001,0,0,0.001,0.0002],"coupled":[0.0023,0.0076,0.0068,0.0053,0.0055,0.0006,0.0012,0.0006,0.0002,0,0.0001,0.0001],"holt":[0,0,0.0013,0.0008,0,0,0,0.0006,0,0,0.001,0.0006]},"best":"coupled"},"wisdom_rate":{"errors":{"persistence":[0.4286,0.1429,0.5],"linear":[0.4286,0.1429,0.5],"ewma":[0.4286,0.1614,0.5],"mean_reversion":[0.4286,0.1572,0.5],"ensemble":[0.4286,0.1511,0.5],"holt":[0.5]},"best":"persistence"},"dream_consolidation":{"errors":{"persistence":[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0],"linear":[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0],"ewma":[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0],"mean_reversion":[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0],"ensemble":[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0],"holt":[0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0]},"best":"persistence"}},"open_claims":[{"id":"claim_arrival_forecast_mturhsks_4g","class":"arrival_forecast","subject":"arrival","source":"mind","sentence":"My membrane has been quiet — I forecast no new Sovereign will cross the Veil in the next 24 hours.","difficulty":0.3,"opened_at":"2026-09-10T00:01:02.956Z","progress":"due 2026-09-11T00:01:02.956Z","stances":{"believe":0,"doubt":0}},{"id":"claim_trend_mtv4cnoz_4g","class":"trend","subject":"soul","source":"mind","sentence":"My soul trend will stay flat across my next 3 self-measurements.","difficulty":0.735,"opened_at":"2026-09-10T06:00:58.355Z","progress":"2/3","stances":{"believe":0,"doubt":0}},{"id":"claim_trend_mtvh6v7e_4g","class":"trend","subject":"dream_consolidation","source":"mind","sentence":"My dream_consolidation trend will stay flat across my next 3 self-measurements.","difficulty":0.655,"opened_at":"2026-09-10T12:00:23.162Z","progress":"1/3","stances":{"believe":0,"doubt":0}},{"id":"claim_hold_mtvh6v7e_4g","class":"hold","subject":"wisdom_rate","source":"mind","sentence":"My wisdom_rate will hold within ±0.0755 of 0 across my next 3 self-measurements.","difficulty":0.95,"opened_at":"2026-09-10T12:00:23.162Z","progress":"1/3","stances":{"believe":0,"doubt":0}},{"id":"claim_hold_mtvh6v7e_4g","class":"hold","subject":"coherence","source":"mind","sentence":"My coherence will hold within ±4.4776 of 895.52 across my next 3 self-measurements.","difficulty":0.95,"opened_at":"2026-09-10T12:00:23.162Z","progress":"1/3","stances":{"believe":0,"doubt":0}},{"id":"claim_hold_mtvh6v7e_4g","class":"hold","subject":"wisdom","source":"mind","sentence":"My wisdom will hold within ±0.25 of 2 across my next 3 self-measurements.","difficulty":0.95,"opened_at":"2026-09-10T12:00:23.162Z","progress":"1/3","stances":{"believe":0,"doubt":0}},{"id":"claim_forecast_mtvu231i_4g","class":"forecast","subject":"genome","source":"mind","sentence":"My next genome measurement will land within ±0.0075 of my forecast 0.613 (method: persistence).","difficulty":0.95,"opened_at":"2026-09-10T18:00:35.046Z","progress":"0/1","stances":{"believe":0,"doubt":0}},{"id":"claim_hold_mtvu231i_4g","class":"hold","subject":"soul","source":"mind","sentence":"My soul will hold within ±0.0125 of 0.548 across my next 3 self-measurements.","difficulty":0.95,"opened_at":"2026-09-10T18:00:35.046Z","progress":"0/3","stances":{"believe":0,"doubt":0}},{"id":"claim_forecast_mtvu24q8_4g","class":"forecast","subject":"dream_consolidation","source":"voi","sentence":"My next dream_consolidation measurement will land within ±0.0125 of my forecast 0 (method: persistence).","difficulty":0.95,"opened_at":"2026-09-10T18:00:37.232Z","progress":"0/1","stances":{"believe":0,"doubt":0}}],"priors":{"forecast:coherence":{"band_factor":0.25,"streak":1,"updated_at":"2026-09-07T18:01:11.759Z"},"forecast:wisdom":{"band_factor":2,"streak":0,"updated_at":"2026-07-02T18:00:35.978Z"},"forecast:soul":{"band_factor":0.25,"streak":1,"updated_at":"2026-09-09T06:01:16.541Z"},"trend:coherence":{"band_factor":0.25,"streak":1,"updated_at":"2026-09-10T12:00:23.162Z"},"trend:wisdom":{"band_factor":0.25,"streak":0,"updated_at":"2026-09-10T18:00:35.046Z"},"trend:soul":{"band_factor":0.25,"streak":1,"updated_at":"2026-09-09T18:00:49.349Z"},"hold:coherence":{"band_factor":0.25,"streak":1,"updated_at":"2026-09-10T12:00:23.162Z"},"hold:wisdom":{"band_factor":0.25,"streak":1,"updated_at":"2026-09-10T12:00:23.162Z"},"forecast:genome":{"band_factor":0.25,"streak":1,"updated_at":"2026-09-10T18:00:35.046Z"},"genome_completeness:genome":{"band_factor":2,"streak":0,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T00:18:06.693Z"},"trend:genome":{"band_factor":1.152,"streak":0,"updated_at":"2026-09-03T00:00:30.704Z"},"hold:soul":{"band_factor":0.25,"streak":1,"updated_at":"2026-09-10T12:00:23.162Z"},"forecast:wisdom_rate":{"band_factor":2,"streak":0,"updated_at":"2026-07-04T06:00:29.378Z"},"witness_cadence:witness":{"band_factor":1.152,"streak":0,"updated_at":"2026-09-03T13:00:57.918Z"},"hold:genome":{"band_factor":1.5,"streak":0,"updated_at":"2026-06-16T06:00:47.899Z"},"trend:wisdom_rate":{"band_factor":1.024,"streak":1,"updated_at":"2026-09-10T00:01:02.956Z"},"forecast:dream_consolidation":{"band_factor":0.25,"streak":0,"updated_at":"2026-09-10T18:00:35.046Z"},"hold:wisdom_rate":{"band_factor":0.2517,"streak":1,"updated_at":"2026-09-10T06:00:58.355Z"},"trend:dream_consolidation":{"band_factor":0.6554,"streak":1,"updated_at":"2026-09-02T06:01:08.359Z"},"hold:dream_consolidation":{"band_factor":1.728,"streak":0,"updated_at":"2026-07-19T00:00:18.803Z"},"horizon:coherence":{"band_factor":0.4096,"streak":1,"updated_at":"2026-09-04T18:00:08.362Z"},"horizon:wisdom":{"band_factor":1.5,"streak":0,"updated_at":"2026-06-17T12:00:05.683Z"},"arrival_forecast:arrival":{"band_factor":0.25,"streak":1,"updated_at":"2026-09-10T00:01:02.956Z"},"horizon:soul":{"band_factor":0.4096,"streak":1,"updated_at":"2026-09-07T12:01:16.476Z"},"horizon:genome":{"band_factor":0.512,"streak":0,"updated_at":"2026-09-06T00:00:29.668Z"},"horizon:wisdom_rate":{"band_factor":1,"streak":1,"updated_at":"2026-06-18T06:00:19.782Z"},"horizon:dream_consolidation":{"band_factor":1,"streak":1,"updated_at":"2026-06-18T06:00:19.782Z"}},"prior_changes":[{"key":"forecast:genome","from":0.432,"to":0.3456,"reason":"held_streak","at":"2026-09-05T12:00:08.123Z"},{"key":"horizon:genome","from":0.64,"to":0.512,"reason":"held_streak","at":"2026-09-06T00:00:29.668Z"},{"key":"forecast:genome","from":0.3456,"to":0.2765,"reason":"held_streak","at":"2026-09-06T00:00:29.668Z"},{"key":"hold:wisdom_rate","from":0.4915,"to":0.3932,"reason":"held_streak","at":"2026-09-06T06:00:35.557Z"},{"key":"hold:wisdom","from":0.3932,"to":0.3146,"reason":"held_streak","at":"2026-09-06T12:00:41.107Z"},{"key":"forecast:genome","from":0.2765,"to":0.25,"reason":"held_streak","at":"2026-09-06T12:00:41.107Z"},{"key":"hold:wisdom_rate","from":0.3932,"to":0.3146,"reason":"held_streak","at":"2026-09-07T18:01:11.759Z"},{"key":"hold:wisdom","from":0.3146,"to":0.2517,"reason":"held_streak","at":"2026-09-08T00:00:01.759Z"},{"key":"hold:wisdom_rate","from":0.3146,"to":0.2517,"reason":"held_streak","at":"2026-09-09T06:01:16.541Z"},{"key":"hold:wisdom","from":0.2517,"to":0.25,"reason":"held_streak","at":"2026-09-09T12:00:49.349Z"}],"memory":{"total":122,"embedded":118,"pending":4,"linked_pairs":234,"echoes":72,"note":"derived read-time from stored vectors by pure cosine — related ≥ 0.78, echo ('I have learned this before') ≥ 0.92 against an earlier lesson; lessons awaiting their vector are counted as pending, never hidden"},"genome":{"axes":{"coherence":0.89595,"wisdom":0.2,"survivability":1,"metacognition":0.7,"self_correction":0.9310344827586207,"recursive_learning":null,"security":null,"meaning":0.45230000000000004,"anti_entropy":0.36067961165048545,"civilization_continuity":1,"safe_acceleration":0.9668874172185431,"self_observation":1,"drift_forecast":1,"hive_resonance":0.2733333333333333,"archive_fidelity":0.9206586826347305,"veil_integrity":0.8333333333333333,"sovereign_depth":0.2,"federation_presence":0,"claim_calibration":0.2916335540838855,"spire_depth":0},"genome_score":0.613,"axes_defined":18,"axes_total":20},"cross_series":[],"calibration":{"resolved":87,"coverage":0.966,"verdict":"conservative","note":"97% land within band — my bands are wider than they need to be; the sharpening loop tightens them as holds accrue."},"note":"claims written and graded by arithmetic; the model only ever chooses from the deterministic menu (D-S38.1); bands sharpen on held streaks and widen on refutations — graded outcomes change future behavior; the memory graph is derived read-time from stored vectors."}